Showing posts with label Poor Argumentation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Poor Argumentation. Show all posts

Monday, December 4, 2017

(Original post, 1.28.08) Our Nation was founded during the Golden Age of Reason. We need a return to those core values.

Ben Franklin lobbied to have our National Symbol be the rattlesnake. We Agree. As much as we love our country and her Eagle, we have lost our way, and need Ben's Rattlesnake of Vigilance!

The Rattlesnake Party has five core values:

(1) Scientific ReasonA return to the primacy of Science as the basis for much of our decision making (including the Dismal Science of economics); Better Educational programs emphasizing Math, Science, Health, Logic, etc. to create a new generation of scientists, engineers and astronauts; and a Renaissance of Scientific Discovery which we are clearly on the verge of regardless of government funding-- however, we need to have ten to twenty "Apollo-style" projects to improve the climate, environment, science, space exploration, health, etc. (see more info.)

(2) Rule of Constitution. Reinstatement of habeas corpus; an end to unconstitutional practices by government; honoring the Bill of Rights; and expansion of those rights where applicable, when necessary. (see more info.)

(3) Plain EnglishAll laws need to be written in plain English, if we expect to hold people and our Representatives accountable. The indecipherable nuances which the legal and governmental community create has driven us to the current state of affairs. This has led to corruption, cronyism, and quasi-legal corporate practices which leave the average American holding the can. (see more info.)

(4) Rule of LawOnce all laws are reorganized to say what they mean and mean what they say with plain English, a fair and consistent enforcement of such laws. Drug laws against addicts, Biased enforcement of laws as relates to race, ethnicity, or class, and unchecked Corporate crimes would come to a sudden halt. (see more info.)

(5) True Simple Flat Tax. A flat tax of 10% to all persons, entities (including corporations, and the like), and churches (which demonstrate a commercial surplus or profit) would generate ample treasure to the Government, reduce or eliminate the need for an IRS, save millions of man-hours and billions of dollars to improve productivity, reduce the tax burden on most people (rich and poor alike), and eliminate the corporate shenanigans which created such complex and labyrinthine tax codes in the first place. Although this would eliminate some Tax Preparation and Government jobs, we believe this would be made up for with the tremendous windfall to the Treasury due to a universal closure of loopholes. (see more info and more andmore.)

We are firm believers that there needs to be multi-party system and universal factions in Washington, DC. Our group is a Universal Faction designed to house any US Citizen of any affiliation, who agrees with part or, preferably, all of our ideals.

Thursday, September 7, 2017

American Fallacy: Health Care

Fact Check.org released "clarification" to all the false argumentation in the media (bloggosphere inclusive).

Now lets examine the tactics of rhetoric used by such false claimants:

PRO-INSURANCE LOBBY;






  • Government Will Decide What Care I Get; Appeal to Emotion (Fear)






  • Private Insurance Will Be Illegal; Appeal to Emotion (Fear)






  • The House Bill Requires Suicide Counseling; Straw Man with a dash of Appeal to Fear (for those who are religiously against suicide)






  • Medicare Benefits Will Be Slashed; Appeal to Fear (in sales we call this Fear of Loss)






  • Illegal Immigrants Will Be Covered; This is tricky... I am going to say in short order this is probably a Masked man fallacy, whereby substituting the word legal with illegal a whole barrage of fear and loathing can be unsheathed by jingoistic elements.


  • PRO-REFORM LOBBY;






  • The Bill Is Paid For; I would put this as a non-sequitur, but it could be more sinisterly interpreted as Irrelevant Conclusion, an argument that diverts attention away from a fact in dispute rather than address it directly.






  • Families Will Save $2,500; Bare assertion fallacy. Even though there may be some savings, the nature of that savings is internal not pocketbook according to the estimates.


  • ------

    So, we can see the Pro-Insurance Lobby is using pretty much a fear (argumentum ad baculum) to countervail the very factual fear invoked by (just one example of the argument) that "Medicare as-is will become bankrupt in less than a decade."

    That raises legitimate fear for someone who is 58 ~ 64 who expects to have a life expectancy of 75 ~ 80 years where the last five to ten years require the most medical assistance!

    The translation to Baby Boomers (all of you) = "Right when you need it the very most you wont have any guarantee for medical assistance or coverage!"

    That pretty much should raise some fears for a generation which hasn't collectively been as kind to their bodies as they could have been (paging Doctor Leary).

    ***

    The Pro-reform group seems, like many Democratic coalitions to have a broad range of messages, but in this instance not very many fallacies. I would not defend misstatements, misleading, misdirection, or, worst, false argumentation, but in this case there seems to be such an abundance of argumentum ad nauseam from the Pro-Insurance groups-- wherein a false thing is repeated over and over without nuance to the discussion, such that fatigue is the result (and by association the false assertion becomes true).

    This morning a former British Minister for Health all but ridiculed the red herring arguments coming from the Pro-Insurance Lobby.

    We in USA (ranked 37th in the World) are painfully misled by poor arguments by those who would interfere with the Hippocratic Principle in our democratic republics hope to become more respectable, lead a more decent lifestyle, and improve the health, welfare and happiness of our citizenry.

    Sunday, August 7, 2011

    Interim Report Card: Obama and Congress

    I have been focusing my energy on more positive things since I last blogged (a philosophical countenance upon monetary issues, since then a devaluation of the dollar, and a credit downgrade for the USA).

    Many of the negative things we citizens have been enduring are in part due to congressional incompetence!


    D for CONGRESS

    1. Disappointing. Anyone who thought a fresh crop of outspoken freshmen would shift the paradygm should now see that (a) freshmen need to make small committee level type mistakes before getting to run with the big dogs, because the weak Speaker unable to whip the Teaparty group specifically has been a joke; (b) sometimes our system allows legitimate "tails," or minority views, to wag the dog of the center; yet (c) our system is about compromise, and the center has won out in most of the debates. The absurdity of the House of Representatives has been amateur hour.

    2. Disrespect. Yes, the Pubs are the "party of No," actively defending their point of view and loudly hoping for the CEO of the USA to fail... except We The People are represented by all branches of government-- that throughputs into hoping against the USA itself, and seems highly disrespectful no matter how rosy the economy. So these red herrings and ad hominems look to be much fiddling whilst Rome Burns! What ever happened to respect for the office of the President?

    3. Delay, Distract, and Derail. Between both parties the lack of civil dialogue has led to endless tactical maneuvers that have ultimately kept the American people riding in the rumble seat, while we watch some falsetto reality show about idiots sent somewhere to compromise and lead, but instead doing everything except what has been needed-- and so much needs doing!

    4. Democrat. The Dems have been playing chicken, too. What ever happened to civil discourse? Both sides show they dont know how to get things done with fact, consensus, and logic. Keynesian theory, like climate change, is scientifically verifiable, so why do Dems somehow have a big issue explaining that massive cuts at the heart of a recovery will ensure a new downturn in economic activity. What small and large businesses and investors REALLY await is ANY final say on tax codes, securities regulation, and others of the many chickens that came home to roost in 2006 ~ 2008 (under the Bush Administration) still clucking along with us. Not too many care who is to blame, but await the issues to be addressed, solved, and a long term track set up so calculations can be made. We want chicken salad and have been served a lot of chicken $#!+. The whipsaw markets and the inconstant congress have made planning as much of a hunch as a calculation, and this is not right to do to potential employers during the worst job crisis since Ronald Reagan!


    C-flat for Obama.

    We are really seeing a tin ear on many things, particularly juxtaposed against the congressional reality from the President.

    He has fallen flat on many issues that his populist core group, of which I count myself as formerly one, would have imagined his administration could have tackled in his sleep.

    1. Habeas Corpus. To me this is the only issue of the 2012 election if this doesnt get handled, very soon. Don't get me wrong, I am sure there are some very bad people out there trying to do very bad things to the USA,, but at what cost are we willing to proceed? Still unsettled is the rejection of the initial human rights of the landholder found in the Magna Carta, enshrined by our civilization, and repealed under the harsh justice of Bush the Lesser. Yet Obama three years in unwilling to re-establish ancient Rule of Law?? Straight up F on this one.

    2. Tax. Dear Mr. President, under similar constraints, your hero, Reagan, also raised taxes. What economist is telling you to not generate revenues by simplifying government, tax codes, and regulations-- a net tax increase? Maybe Geithner is the least of our worries, but there is not really a debate amongst scholars as to what is needed stimulatively by the Buyer and Seller of last resort. You are trying to run the largest economy without proper income. Would any millionaire or billionaire also seek to run an operation with expenses exceeding income? No, they would pass the cost on. D+ on economy.

    3. Negotiating. Before I consider voting for you again, I need you to show me that you wouldn't be hustled by a car dealer. In the real world, you see, people close deals all day long. I guess its a lawyers in Washington DC thing to expect that you acceed to the oppositions positions before they show willingness to engage in earnest horse trading. Practice by playing poker with your staff or something, because this is getting embarrassing to watch. Then the endless tactical back and forth. Next time, print out your hard and fast deal points and let congress work around you -- not the other way around! Congress is only popular to the tune of their family and friends networks now, so why would you let them have the first or last word ever again? D- on negotiation.

    4. Everything else. Obama has been remarkably productive in the first couple of years, but it seems has been caught flat footed. His administration has gotten many remarkable things accomplished while fighting two wars they didnt start. I remember watching Nixon flying away from the White House lawn on TV when I was three, so I have no short term memory issues to somehow imagine that much of our problems stem from the horrible administrative decisions by the prior CEO.

    Yet, I tried to bite my tongue about Bush, because I knew (a) he was only a person, (b) tens of thousands of others worked around him to create the millions of bad choices, least of which was Cheney, and (c) barring the previous administrations refusal to leave office without a coup, we are Americans, and even the quasi-fascist neo-cons left when the People spoke. So, yes, comparatively Obama has been a fresh start, but now we are into the quagmired reality of hard choices--regardless of who started what (My argument is that it's Nixons fault for taking us off the Silver Standard, but who cares, right? How will that argument get anything accomplished today??).

    I give Obama a B- drifting into a C+ were it not for the key issues above, to combine for a very flat C-.

    I can only pray we are restored our rights, and that the people who will be going back to Washington DC in the fall decide to take seriously the multitude of issues that have befallen the American peoples-- for surely this wont do!

    Thursday, January 6, 2011

    Silly Season: Open for Hunting

    Dems have always had constituent group politics: gays, latinos, blacks, labor, etc.

    Those groups, or factions, dont always agree, and often dont get everything they wanted, either.

    This flexibility is something the Pubs are not known for; if anything they are know as being in lock-step, on-message, and in-synch-- a real machine. Except now, they really dont agree with one another on how best to proceed, and Boehner may risk (political) life and limb trying to get the stump out of the thresher-- to use a farming metaphor.

    In other words, they now actually have sub-groups!

    How Boehner deals with the transition to a group process format for these expressed interest will be measured by the body count in the 2012 elections. Try focusing on that instead of screwing Obama, and by the transitive property the nation as well-- First reason, it's what you guys did last time you were "in power."

    Lest we should forget that neither party wants to talk about the real pain points, and so most of what is being fed as the primary proceedings of the political dialogue in DC really amounts to irrelevant misdirection to keep the interested confused and the rest of us bored with all of the lying!

    Tuesday, December 29, 2009

    Strategy, Tactics, and Terrorism

    I will make this brief.

    The idea that we can stop terrorists who seem to be coming in via London, Amsterdam, or other foreign ports into America to set off havoc (and bombs) by essentially removing civil liberties here at home beggars belief.

    A phrase that would have been heresy just several years ago, but is now on the TV-machine a lot is "security theater."

    Now in my mind this would be the staging area for a secure zone, but in fact means staging an act which is designed to lend the appearance of greater safety.

    We still haven't completely implemented the work of the bipartisan 9-11 Commission, Republicans continue to play petty politics by not conferring a TSA Chief, and meanwhile New safety measures appear arbitrary... I mean here.

    The simple Strategical guidance I would offer is simple: We must shift from a Reactionary Defense to a Proactive Defense; We must shift from a Nation-State Invasion Model to a Sectarian Counter-terror Model.

    Easier said than done!

    That said, Proactive Defense looks more like what the British accomplished in 2005 with the liquid bombers; or the French have been dealing with since Algerian Independence in 1962. A lot of very advanced police work!

    Our current reactionary basis has us looking at areas where the opponents last struck. As they say in investing, "past performance does not guarantee future results." This is backwards hindsight mentality.

    The balance is to get international cooperation on improved intelligence techniques that somehow maintains reasonable personal privacy and functional civil liberties.

    As for our wholesale invasion of places where terrorists live, well that is as delusional as the idea that Terrorists will somehow destroy the Freedom we enjoy in the West.

    Our freedoms, our wealth, and our model of social change is not something that people plan on giving up on, and like any good product or service-- it is in high demand!

    Ours is not a natural state of governance, but a logical outcrop as a result from hard earned lessons and wars of the past. Ours is the best model, for now, and people basically like Freedom, Liberty and Justice. So the terrorists can't expect random acts of havoc to remove or somehow dethrone this truth.

    On the other hand there are dissenters and at the harshest end bad actors, those who would commit terrorist acts, probably in any major nation-state in the world. It becomes a question of what is aspirational and what is operational as to what threats are indeed real to human safety and liberty.

    So, to invade yet another country to ensure freedom and democracy is so 20th century, and a very proven failed idea from not just a budgetary, but a benefit-cost, point of view.

    Like NASA, our defense and offense needs to get more focused, accurate, and scale appropriate to live within their means.

    Friday, September 11, 2009

    The Politics of Cynicism and Pretzel Logic: Part I Sarah Palin

    Well it's no surprise that eight years after the tragedy of the nineleven we still see politicians like this:







    The saddest bit is that we have many cynical fallacies to review today, but I am only going to dwell on two of them.



    PART ONE SARAH PALIN


    1. Death Panels. Just like Lois Griffin's stunning statement, "9... (beat) 11," there isn't some great piece of logic to examine beyond say an eight year old listening to a popular music song and misreading the lyrics (as I often have done my whole life [I thought Peter Gabriel released a song called "I Have the Tush," until my sister and her friend almost laughed me out [it was "I Have the Touch," BTW] of the car when I was twelve or so).


    The actual entity is called "End of Life Counseling." A Council is a group of people... a panel. Another word for end of life is "Death." Death Panel!


    It's cynical, zingy, and very school yard. Not to mention is entirely misleading, because the chasm between Counseling, and so to speak "Counciling," is very different. And now we get to the fallacy: You can have a Council that Counsels, but less often would you have a Counselor who Councils. Unless of course by Counselor we are using the term associated with a lawyer with whom we rely upon.


    This is 'because A can be B, then B is A." And I feel this is charitable, because in reality this is just a cynical Appeal to Fear.



    2. Obama mentioned in his speech that the costs of (a) the last eight years of war, and (b) the last eight years of tax cuts equal less than his proposed health care plan of $900BB over ten years.


    Cost of the wars in the last eight years (see side calculator, too) is about right, and definiately on track that over ten years shall exceed the $900BB figure!


    Cost of the tax cuts is easily correct at something like 200 ~ 250% of that value.


    Which brings us to the fallacy. Mrs. Palin suggests that President Obama has disrespected the troops, because he made this assertion (of fact-- or at least accurate and open budget estimation [we are assuming the health care plan =$900BB over ten years]).


    Health Care fix will cost less than the Wars. Health care is baaaad. Therefore Obama says Troops are bad!


    She is missing some circuitry, but somehow has that magical cavewoman's reptilian mentality in tact (albeit getting her speaking points ostensibly from some Rovian Sith up and comer one would suspect [my cynicism]).


    *sigh* here we go: (a) Obama says his plan is good, (b) Obama is not liked (by the arguer), (c) Obama does not like the war, (d) Republicans (theoretically) support the fallacious war in Iraq [still?], (e) the tone of the speech did contain an allusion to the fact that the war was fallacious, (f) War requires troops, and therefore (g) Obama said troops are "Baaaad!"


    This is going to get pretty tricky (all from the POV of the arguement in Favor of Obama said Troops is Baaaad): NOT a is TRUE; b is TRUE; c is TRUE; d is TRUE; e is TRUE; f is TRUE; thus g. So do you see what happened yet?


    By starting the element with one negative our result contains a negative assertion. For example: -a * b * c * d * e * f = g and g is a negative number!


    Now to the actual contents of the argument: a is opinon, b is opinon, c is opinion, d is a position, e is an opinon, f is a statement of fact, and g is a fallacy!


    Remove the opinions, and you get: position, statement, and fallacy. Or, "The Iraq War and the other Bush Wars are important, necessary and good; War requires troops; and Obama does not support the troops!"


    Finally we come to the illicit process (inclusive of the negative assumption {tu quoque reversed- which is to say "you too," except the opposite version "not me"}): YOU think NOT The Iraq War and the other Bush Wars are important, necessary and good; War requires troops; therefore YOU think troops NOT good!


    Disgusted yet? We didn't finish. (The Ad hominem implied, that is to say the NOT me BUT you think, is indicated by the asterisk *) Now that we have simplified the statement and the logics, lets find the fallacy within the fallacy (the first being a tu quoque reversed premissed upon opinions and assertions): (p) War requires (q) Troops, *YOU think (p) = NOT good (r), therefore *YOU think (q) = NOT good (r)!


    This is called an illicit major. There is a failure to distribute. P = Q; P = NOT R; Therefore Q = NOT R.


    Although I think it is somewhat accurate to characterize Obama Administration as being instinctively against War, in fact they have shown to be pragmatic and we are looking at increasing troop levels in Afganistan. So aside from this ILLICIT MAJOR inside the AD HOMINEM (that is to say against the person not the argument) which I am calling the REVERSED TU QUOQUE, we actually have the addition of a misrepresentation to the practical facts of what the opposite side has effectively done and implemented to add the STRAW MAN (misrepresentation of the position being argued against).


    Those Rovian Siths love a good fallacy within a fallacy within a fallacy! First they miscomprehendate (to anticipate what Dubya might have called it) the speaker and then they fallacy the fallacy!



    I am going to try to now enjoy the rest of my day, but I just had to point out how bloody rediculous it is that the media even covers such poor argumentation in the first place... unfortunately I think there is much more to come, so I put this as PART ONE!

    Tuesday, June 30, 2009

    Arnie's Brinksmanship

    Okay, to paraphrase the bible, here is Arnold Schwarzenegger's political future in a nut shell:

    You enter by riding someone out on a rail, then you may very well be ridden out on your own rail.

    The Republicans in California seem intent on tying themselves to a sinking ship (and taking the state down with them), rather than admit mismanagement (or lack of leadership, foresight, or any other reasonable excuse for their stubbornness) and allow everyone to get onto the lifeboats (to extend the metaphor).

    The near extremist ideologue mentality that somehow interprets the career of Reagan as some seminal message that government must not raise taxes at all costs is a myth. Reagan raised taxes as Governor and President (http://www.dailyhowler.com/dh060804.shtml), and that fellow who campaigned after Reagan who expanded the "No Tax" myth of the invisble government:



    Ooops...

    So much for theory...

    In practice Bush Jr's endless effort to manipulate an economic reality to demonstrate the magic of trickle down vodounomics has had precipitous results which are now as plain as the nose on your face my Dear Governor!

    The definition of mental illness is when you attempt to get different results from the same methods without accepting, adjusting, adapting or improving that technique in the face of data set information gathered from past failures and consequences.

    In my book, Metaeconomics, I premiss that the events of the fall 2008 have in my experience granted our generation a tremendous opportunity (within the context of major crisis) that of having proven in a non-laboratory environment that no pure theory of economics works all the time, in all economic conditions, and laws are amended to fashion and enhance illusions of mass perception (thus creating an appearance of function) within the macro economy (which is harder to provide contextual illusion to microeconomies for reasons not worth going into right here).

    Governor, please stop this game of chicken, which is already set to effect thousands of children and millions of people adversely.

    If the Republicans in congress are able to create a compromise that you then Veto, I would imagine the other aspect of our democracy could come into effect, much like it did for Gov. Davis, IMPEACHMENT!

    You have a moral responsibility to end your governorship in a responsible manner, even if your political career my be over.

    Wednesday, June 4, 2008

    McCain's Green Monster: Third Example (of American Logical Fallacy)

    http://weblogs.newsday.com/news/local/longisland/politics/blog/2008/06/mccain_speech_starting_now_ful.html
    (Comments in Parenthesis)

    Good evening from the great city of New Orleans. (False – He was in Kenner) Tonight, we can say with confidence the primary season is over, and the general election campaign has begun. I commend both Senators Obama and Clinton for the long, hard race they have run. Senator Obama has impressed many Americans with his eloquence and his spirited campaign. Senator Clinton has earned great respect for her tenacity and courage. The media often overlooked how compassionately she spoke to the concerns and dreams of millions of Americans, and she deserves a lot more appreciation than she sometimes received. (Emotional Appeal) As the father of three daughters, I owe her a debt for inspiring millions of women to believe there is no opportunity in this great country beyond their reach. I am proud to call her my friend. Pundits and party elders have declared that Senator Obama will be my opponent. (Masked Man—Obama won, Party elders and Pundits have lauded him, therefore Obama won because of Party Elders and Pundits) He will be a formidable one. But I'm ready for the challenge, and determined to run this race in a way that does credit to our campaign and to the proud, decent and patriotic people I ask [sic?] to lead.

    The decision facing Americans in this election couldn't be more important to the future security and prosperity of American families. This is, indeed, a change election. No matter who wins this election, the direction of this country is going to change dramatically. But, the choice is between the right change and the wrong change; between going forward and going backward. (Not a fallacy, but an attempt similar to the McCain’s new slogan [A Leader We Can Believe In –v- Change We Can Believe In {Obama}] to co-opt the message from his opponent so technically a Tu Quoque Implied)

    America has seen tough times before. We've always known how to get through them. And we've always believed our best days are ahead of us. I believe that still. But we must rise to the occasion, as we always have; change what must be changed; and make the future better than the past.

    The right change (Redefinition, the implication being his opponent advocates “an incorrect change”) recognizes that many of the policies and institutions of our government have failed. They have failed to keep up with the challenges of our time because many of these policies were designed for the problems and opportunities of the mid to late 20th Century, before the end of the Cold War; before the revolution in information technology and rise of the global economy. The right kind of change will initiate widespread and innovative reforms in almost every area of government policy -- health care, energy, the environment, the tax code, our public schools, our transportation system, disaster relief, government spending and regulation, diplomacy, the military and intelligence services. Serious and far-reaching reforms are needed in so many areas of government to meet our own challenges in our own time. (He has now defined “change” as many would perceive it, but again has attempted to link himself with the redefined “right,” which is also evocative to a political stance [versus “left,” or “liberal”])

    The irony is that Americans have been experiencing a lot of change in their lives attributable to these historic events, and some of those changes have distressed many American families -- job loss, failing schools, prohibitively expensive health care, pensions at risk, entitlement programs approaching bankruptcy, rising gas and food prices, to name a few. But your government often acts as if it is completely unaware of the changes and hardships in your lives. (The irony is he has been a part of that Government!) And when government does take notice, often it only makes matters worse. (Appeal to Consequences—because things have been getting worse, and the government sometimes takes notice, then the government makes matters worse) For too long, we have let history outrun our government's ability to keep up with it. The right change will stop impeding Americans from doing what they have always done: overcome every obstacle to our progress, turn challenges into opportunities, and by our own industry, imagination and courage make a better country and a safer world the an we inherited. (This part of the “Redefinition” is technically apt, and although ‘the right change’ is an awkward concept, as ‘change’ technically implies an improvement or redefinition over current circumstances [which obviously belong to a prior set of “change(s)”], and his opponent’s concept of ‘change’ would probably agree to this sentence in its meanings. Now follows a laundry list which although many would more or less agree with, is platitudinal and populist enough to be technically an Appeal to Nature, even though this is forgivable in a candidate to POTUS:)

    To keep our nation prosperous, strong and growing we have to rethink, reform and reinvent: the way we educate our children; train our workers; deliver health care services; support retirees; fuel our transportation network; stimulate research and development; and harness new technologies.

    To keep us safe we must rebuild the structure and mission of our military; the capabilities of our intelligence and law enforcement agencies; the reach and scope of our diplomacy; the capacity of all branches of government to defend us. We need to strengthen our alliances, and preserve our moral credibility.

    We must also prepare, far better than we have, to respond quickly and effectively to a natural calamity. When Americans confront a catastrophe they have a right to expect basic competence from their government. Firemen and policemen should be able to communicate with each other in an emergency. We should be able to deliver bottled water to dehydrated babies and rescue the infirm from a hospital with no electricity. Our disgraceful failure to do so here in New Orleans exposed the incompetence of government at all levels to meet even its most basic responsibilities.

    The wrong change looks not to the future but to the past for solutions that have failed us before and will surely fail us again. (So, now we have the final definition of “right change,” and now he begins a Texas Sharpshooter process—drawing a target around the policy proposals [some of which I will suggest are Straw Man fallacies {fallacy within a fallacy} further weakening the speech] of the opponent and using an Ad Nauseam refrain, ‘that's not change we can believe in,’ as the ostensible bulls-eye) I have a few years on my opponent, so I am surprised that a young man has bought in to so many failed ideas. Like others before him, he seems to think government is the answer to every problem; that government should take our resources and make our decisions for us. That type of change doesn't trust Americans to know what is right or what is in their own best interests. (Straw Man) It's the attitude of politicians who are sure of themselves but have little faith in the wisdom, decency and common sense of free people. That attitude created the unresponsive bureaucracies of big government in the first place. And that's not change we can believe in. (Ad Nauseam)

    You will hear from my opponent's campaign in every speech, every interview, every press release that I'm running for President Bush's third term. You will hear every policy of the President described as the Bush-McCain policy. Why does Senator Obama believe it's so important to repeat that idea over and over again? (here is a counter argument to an Ad Nauseam refrain from his opponent, tellingly this will define the answer as to why he will rely upon Ad Nauseam argumentation throughout this speech and probably throughout his campaign—because he is defining his understanding of the tactic) Because he knows it's very difficult to get Americans to believe something they know is false. So he tries to drum it into your minds by constantly repeating it rather than debate honestly the very different directions he and I would take the country. But the American people didn't get to know me yesterday, as they are just getting to know Senator Obama. (Fake Precision—claiming that the process “getting to know’ requires some pre-defined time frame) They know I have a long record of bipartisan problem solving. They've seen me put our country before any President -- before any party -- before any special interest -- before my own interest. They might think me an imperfect servant of our country, which I surely am. But I am her servant first, last and always. (This is almost an Affirmative Conclusion from a Negative Premiss, but he does allude to his “long record,” therefore, although not proving it here, he asks us to refer to public record to take his point that because he sometimes disagrees with party or president he therefore is a servant to the nation. He then lays out incidentals defining his Premiss, but he doesn’t actually complete the conclusion “I am her servant,” rather he defines by implication his servitude as “the security of the country I have defended all my adult life.”)

    I have worked with the President to keep our nation safe. But he and I have not seen eye to eye on many issues. We've disagreed over the conduct of the war in Iraq and the treatment of detainees; over out of control government spending and budget gimmicks; over energy policy and climate change; over defense spending that favored defense contractors over the public good.

    I disagreed strongly with the Bush administration's mismanagement of the war in Iraq. I called for the change in strategy that is now, at last, succeeding where the previous strategy had failed miserably. I was criticized for doing so by Republicans. I was criticized by Democrats. I was criticized by the press. But I don't answer to them. I answer to you. And I would be ashamed to admit I knew what had to be done in Iraq to spare us from a defeat that would endanger us for years, but I kept quiet because it was too politically hard for me to do. No ambition is more important to me than the security of the country I have defended all my adult life.

    Senator Obama opposed the new strategy, and, after promising not to, voted to deny funds to the soldiers who have done a brilliant and brave job of carrying it out. Yet in the last year we have seen the success of that plan as violence has fallen to a four year low; Sunni insurgents have joined us in the fight against al Qaeda; the Iraqi Army has taken the lead in places once lost to Sunni and Shia extremists; and the Iraqi Government has begun to make progress toward political reconciliation. (Technically this is an Ad Nauseam Reflection of the Redefinition [of Success], which has occurred throughout the War—for example, ‘We only lost 15 soldiers last month.’ The assertion that “only” makes the death of any service person reasonable to accept is in many minds a FALSE PREMISS, therefore in my book an Ipsedixitism)

    None of this progress would have happened had we not changed course over a year ago. And all of this progress would be lost if Senator Obama had his way and began to withdraw our forces from Iraq without concern for conditions on the ground and the advice of commanders in the field. (Lets set aside the Straw Man argument that Obama and Democrats would recklessly remove forces to pick apart and even greater fallacy: If “Progress” is the in reference to the fallacies in the above paragraph, which I have shown is an Ad Nauseam Redefinition, then “None of,” and “All of,” become statements in McCain’s speech which would be redefined or translated logically into; ‘The War would have NOT happened;’ and in the second sentence then instead of the rough translation for progress [War] being the opposite of lost, hence won, there would be no need to win a war never started) Americans ought to be concerned about the judgment of a presidential candidate who says he's ready to talk, in person and without conditions, with tyrants from Havana to Pyongyang, (This is an Ad Nauseam of a Straw Man which effectively uses Fake Precision regarding his opponents prior statements and subsequent contextual redefinitions) but hasn't traveled to Iraq to meet with General Petraeus (This is an Ad Nauseam Style Over Substance Fallacy and when asked in question form “Mr. Obama, why haven’t you traveled to Iraq to meet with General Patraeus?” Is also Begging The Question. This Ad Nauseam has often shown up as “Obama ‘refuses’ to meet,” when in fact Obama interacted with the General as recently as April 8th, 2008 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/04/08/obama-holds-first-committ_n_95593.html) , and see for himself the progress he threatens to reverse (This use of “progress” an Appeal to Fear now puts us into a fallacy-within a fallacy-within a fallacy-within a fallacy [Texas Sharpshooter-Redefinition of Successful War-Style Over Substance-Appeal to Fear] *ouch*).

    I know Americans are tired of this war. I don't oppose a reckless withdrawal from Iraq because I'm indifferent to the suffering war inflicts on too many American families. (Again a Straw Man implication that his opponent supports “a reckless withdrawal”) I hate war. And I know very personally how terrible its costs are. But I know, too, that the course Senator Obama advocates could draw us into a wider war with even greater sacrifices; put peace further out of reach, (technically another Ad Nauseam for which there is no proof therefore I am categorizing this as a Probabilistic Fallacy of some kind combined with Ipsedixitism, unless the Republicans have some sort of crystal ball they would like to make known) and Americans back in harm's way.

    I take America's economic security as seriously as I do her physical security. For eight years the federal government has been on a spending spree that added trillions to the national debt. It spends more and more of your money on programs that have failed again and again to keep up with the changes confronting American families. Extravagant spending on things that are not the business of government indebts us to other nations; fuels inflation; raises interest rates; and encourages irresponsibility. I have opposed wasteful spending by both parties and the Bush administration. (Proof by Assertion, Ipsedixitism: I understand the voting record of Mr. McCain is ~88% in line with the Administration’s recommendations, http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/1/12/201619/502/425/435878, but am open to facts being divulged to prove this claim) Senator Obama has supported it and proposed more of his own. I want to freeze discretionary spending until we have completed top to bottom reviews of all federal programs to weed out failing ones. (A Tu Quoque Straw Man where the position of his opponent is being simultaneously improved upon and assumed) Senator Obama opposes that reform. I opposed subsidies that favor big business over small farmers and tariffs on imported products that have greatly increased the cost of food. Senator Obama supports these billions of dollars in corporate subsidies and the tariffs that have led to rising grocery bills for American families. (Whether this is a factual statement or not in the first and last, the assumption ‘grocery bills rise because of corporate subsidies because of my opponent,’ in this instance is another Affirmative Conclusion from a Negative Premiss), That's not change we can believe in. (Ad Nauseam)

    No problem is more urgent today than America's dependence on foreign oil. It threatens our security, our economy and our environment. The next President must be willing to break completely with the energy policies not just of the Bush Administration, but the administrations that preceded his, and lead a great national campaign to put us on a course to energy independence. We must unleash the creativity and genius of Americans, and encourage industries to pursue alternative, non-polluting and renewable energy sources, where demand will never exceed supply.

    Senator Obama voted for the same policies that created the problem. In fact, he voted for the energy bill promoted by President Bush and Vice President Cheney, which gave even more breaks to the oil industry. I opposed it because I know we won't achieve energy independence by repeating the mistakes of the last half century. (I am not a fact checker, but that was the most logical statement of the speech, and now we get our Ad Nauseam…) That's not change we can believe in.

    With forward thinking Democrats and Republicans, I proposed a climate change policy that would greatly reduce our dependence on oil. Our approach was opposed by President Bush, and by leading Democrats, and it was defeated by opposition from special interests that favor Republicans and those that favor Democrats. (Guilt by Association, he does not confirm or deny Mr. Obama’s position on the premisses) Senator Obama might criticize special interests that give more money to Republicans. But you won't often see him take on those that favor him. (Two Wrongs Make a Right—this I assume would excuse McCain’s own lobbyist under prior employ? http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/05/moveon_ad_demands_mccain_fire.php) If America is going to achieve energy independence, we need a President with a record of putting the nation's interests before the special interests of either party. I have that record. (I find this assertion dubious, and by referring to the record as proof will leave it to Fact Checkers) Senator Obama does not. (Tu Quoque)

    Senator Obama proposes to keep spending money on programs that make our problems worse (Loaded Words—I am sure Obama’s platform does not suggest his intention is to make things worse) and create new ones (Subject-Object Shift, that the “problems” not the “programs” become the subject that will be “created”) that are modeled (Straw Man—no proof offered therefore also an Ipsedixitism) on big government programs that created much of the fiscal mess we are in. He plans to pay for these increases by raising taxes on seniors, parents, small business owners and every American with even a modest investment in the market. (Straw Man, unless I missed something on the Obama Website that indicates that tax policy, again I am not a fact checker) He doesn't trust us to make decisions for ourselves and wants the government to make them for us. (Straw Man) And that's not change we can believe in. (Ad Nauseam)

    Senator Obama thinks we can improve health care by driving Americans into a new system of government orders, regulations and mandates. I believe we can make health care more available, affordable and responsive to patients by breaking from inflationary practices, insurance regulations, and tax policies that were designed generations ago, and by giving families more choices over their care. His plan represents the old ways of government. Mine trusts in the common sense of the American people. (This would be plausible… if you don’t understand Economics. My critique in this editing is regarding the fallacious nature of Mr. McCain’s opening salvo in the General Campaign for President of These United States of America, and my general disgust with the lack of cogent argumentation from the Republican side. I have studied Economics, and it almost defies imagination as to how by “breaking insurance regulations” we would somehow have a more fair and affordable system? At the end of the day an Ipsedixitism)

    Senator Obama pretends we can address the loss of manufacturing jobs by repealing trade agreements and refusing to sign new ones; that we can build a stronger economy by limiting access to our markets and giving up access to foreign markets. (Straw Man—will any candidate please say words to the effect, “My opponent on May 3rd [such and such a date] said, and I quote….”) The global economy exists and is not going away. We either compete in it or we lose more jobs, more businesses, more dreams. We lose the future. (Appeal to Fear) He's an intelligent man, and he must know how foolish it is to think Americans can remain prosperous without opening new markets to our goods and services. But he feels he must defer to the special interests that support him. (I don’t even know where to begin…Modal Logic Fallacy of some sort, “He knows,” and “He feels.” Straw Man, but really? You know exactly how your opponent feels and what he thinks specifically? Very psychic of you.) That's not change we can believe in. (Ad Nauseam)

    Lowering trade barriers to American goods and services creates more and better jobs; keeps inflation under control; keeps interest rates low; and makes more goods affordable to more Americans. We won't compete successfully by using old technology to produce old goods. We'll succeed by knowing what to produce and inventing new technologies to produce it. (That almost made sense, but really it was a string of assertions loosely associated with each other, therefore an Ipsedixitism)

    We are not people who believe only in the survival of the fittest. (Hasty Generalization—America tends to have all beliefs in play amongst its populous, no matter how insignificantly small the minority, thanks to the First Amendment) Work in America is more than a paycheck; it a source of pride, self-reliance and identity. (Another Hasty Generalization—therefore ‘in America no one works to live…’ unless this is a hidden No True Scotsman, as in “No True American only works to live”) But making empty promises to bring back lost jobs gives nothing to the unemployed worker except false hope. (Appeal to Fear which leads into… Ad Nauseam) That's not change we can believe in. Reforming from top to bottom unemployment insurance and retraining programs that were designed for the 1950s, making use of our community colleges to train people for new opportunities will help workers who've lost a job that won't come back, find a job that won't go away. (Ipsedixitism)

    My friends, we're not a country that would rather go back than forward. We're the world's leader, and leaders don't hide from history. They make history. But if we're going to lead, we have to reform a government that has lost its ability to help us do so. The solution to our problems isn't to reach back to the 1960s and 70s for answers. (Raising the spectre of the [after talking about the ‘50’s no less] 60s and 70s is the ground where in the 90s McCain gained his political footing so he has created an almost hidden Appeal to Motive in the form of some Straw Man position Obama and his supporters supposedly have) In just a few years in office, Senator Obama has accumulated the most liberal voting record in the Senate. But the old, tired, big government policies he seeks to dust off and call new won't work in a world that has changed dramatically since they were last tried and failed. (It might actually have been a successful argument except for the semantic word choice here. In trying for Loaded Words such as Big Government, McCain has walked into a Bear Trap regarding the truth of the current Administration having created The Biggest Government in US History, http://mises.org/story/2116, to which he was a participant, and by being in the Opposition Party to the Administration his Opponent does not have the burden of proof for his opposition to Big Government by association) That's not change we can believe in. (Ad Nauseam… thus endeth the Texas Sharpshooter demonstration of “right change”!)

    The sweeping reforms of government we need won't occur unless we change the political habits of Washington that have locked us in an endless cycle of bickering and stalemate. Washington is consumed by a hyper-partisanship that treats every serious issue as an opportunity to trade insults; impugn each other's motives; and fight about the next election. This is the game Washington plays. Both parties play it, as do the special interests that support each side. The American people know it's not on the level. For all the problems we face, what frustrates them most about Washington is they don't think we're capable of serving the public interest before our personal ambitions; that we fight for ourselves and not for them. They are sick of the politics of selfishness, stalemate and delay, and they have every right to be. We have to change not only government policies that have failed them, but the political culture that produced them. (Most Americans would agree, although this is Ipsedixitism because none of his points were actually proven)

    Both Senator Obama and I promise we will end Washington's stagnant, unproductive partisanship. But one of us has a record of working to do that and one of us doesn't. (More reliance of the “record” for proof, hence an Ipsedixitism) Americans have seen me put aside partisan and personal interests to move this country forward. They haven't seen Senator Obama do the same. (Straw Man) For all his fine words and all his promise, he has never taken the hard but right course of risking his own interests for yours; of standing against the partisan rancor on his side to stand up for our country. (Straw Man) He is an impressive man, who makes a great first impression. (Association Fallacy—as if any man who makes a great impression must be self centered) But he hasn't been willing to make the tough calls; to challenge his party; to risk criticism from his supporters to bring real change to Washington. (Ipsedixitism) I have.

    When members of my party refused to compromise not on principle but for partisanship, I have sought to do so. When I fought corruption it didn't matter to me if the culprits were Democrats or Republicans. I exposed it and let the chips fall where they may. When I worked on campaign finance and ethics reform, I did so with Democrats and Republicans, even though we were criticized by other members of our parties, who preferred to keep things as they were. I have never refused to work with Democrats simply for the sake of partisanship. I've always known we belong to different parties, not different countries. We are Americans before we are anything else. (Plausible, but still Ipsedixitism… would have been good to name drop some co-sponsors here to make the proof)

    I don't seek the presidency on the presumption I'm blessed with such personal greatness that history has anointed me to save my country in its hour of need. (Implied Straw Man—the only words missing were, “but Senator Obama does.”) I seek the office with the humility of a man who cannot forget my country saved me. I'll reach out my hand to anyone, Republican or Democrat, who will help me change what needs to be changed; fix what needs to be fixed; and give this country a government as capable and good as the people it is supposed to serve. There is a time to campaign, and a time to govern. If I'm elected President, the era of the permanent campaign of the last sixteen years will end. The era of reform and problem solving will begin. From my first day in office, I'll work with anyone to make America safe, prosperous and proud. (Not surprisingly, even appropriately an Appeal to Tradition) And I won't care who gets the credit as long as America gets the benefit.

    I have seen Republicans and Democrats achieve great things together. When the stakes were high and it mattered most, I've seen them work together in common purpose, as we did in the weeks after September 11th. (Ad Nauseam argumentum in terrorem) This kind of cooperation has made all the difference at crucial turns in our history. It has given us hope in difficult times. It has moved America forward. And that, my friends, is the kind of change we need right now. (It then is the conclusion that this is the definition of “right” change, except that his conclusion relies upon an Emotional Appeal designed to harken back to when Bush II had 80%+ popularity, everyone was afraid of the unknown quantity called ‘terrorist,’ and Republicans controlled everything. I then derive that the basic translation of “right change” becomes; lets change back to when Republicans were popular and in control before we threw that out with the false war. I can understand why he would have that message.)

    Thank you (you are not welcome, please don’t do this again, because I probably wont!)

    (PS- Yes, in the interest of fairness, I will do one of these IFF in listening to an Obama speech my logical senses cringe at the inanity of the words coming from his mouth. Good luck with that.)

    Monday, June 2, 2008

    Second Example (of American Logical Fallacy)

    From:
    http://redstate.com/blogs/thesophist/2008/jun/02/senator_obama_is_a_man_of_principle
    (Fallacies in Parenthesis)

    Senator Barack Obama, by withdrawing from Trinity United Church, has shown us all that he is a man of uncompromising principle.

    Obama took care to praise Trinity's work to "help the hungry and homeless and people in need of medical care" and said he had "tremendous regard" for Moss.

    "But it's clear that now that I am a candidate for president, every time something is said in the church by any one associated with Trinity, including guest pastors, the remarks will be imputed to me even if they totally conflict with my long held views, statements and principles," Obama said.

    What character! What resolve! What manly courage to hew true to his principle in the face of difficulty. (Ad hominum AND Fake precision)

    That principle, of course, is the principle of self-promotion. (Illicit Process)

    Obama may profess any number of principles and values, but it is clear now to all Americans that his highest value is himself, and his firmest conviction is in self-promotion. There is no storm that Obama will not weather, no battle he will not fight, no challenger he will not stare down in order to be true to his principle of Obama Shall Prevail. (Non Causa Pro Causa)

    Let us review.

    This is the man's church for over twenty years.

    The pastor that he renounced is the man he called his spiritual mentor, who married him and his wife, who baptized his children.

    He is resigning the church, not because of fundamental schism with the theology of the church, but because of politics:

    Well, you know, after the National Press Club episode, as I said, I had a long conversation with Michelle and also had a long conversation with Reverend Moss. We prayed on it and you know, my interest has never been to try to politicize this or put the church in a position where is subject to the same rigors and demands of a presidential campaign. My suspicion at that time, and Michelle, I think, shared this concern, was that it was going to be very difficult to continue our membership there so long as I was running for president.

    Furthermore, Obama wants us to back off:

    I don’t think anybody can suggest that I have really tried to make this work because I have cared about my relationship to the people of that church, who I care for very deeply.

    O rly? Watch me. I suggest that you don't care about your relationship to the people of that church. I suggest that you would sell every single one of your fellow congregants down the river if that would get you one more vote. Oh wait! You just did that! (Appeal to Consequences)

    I have a fractious relationship with my church, a fairly liberal congregation in the PCUSA. I won't resign it, though, and I haven't been there for TWENTY years. Because the Church is more than just what the pastor says. The church is a collection of people, men and women who I'm getting to know better every week, who I've gotten to know. We have a relationship together based on our common faith -- even if we should have theological differences from time to time.

    The church, Senator Obama, is not a social club. If you are really a Christian, then the church is an incredibly important spiritual community. It isn't easy to find one, but once you do, it had better be something damn important to make you leave it. (No True Scotsman)

    The ONLY valid reason to leave a church is when you feel that your faith demands it of you. When the teachings of the church, when the beliefs of the community of believers, are so out of whack with what you believe religiously, spiritually, that the church endangers your relationship with God and imperils your immortal soul. (No True Scotsman)

    You left your church of TWENTY YEARS over... politics? Over your campaign for President? Because the ministers said vile things you don't agree with? (Assuming that you're being honest about your shock, shock at finding anti-Americanism in your church, that is.) (Begging The Question)

    This was your spiritual home, man. Your spiritual family. Your brothers and sisters in Christ. (Emotional Appeal)

    Or... maybe not:

    That’s not the role of church. My — again what I want to do in church is I want to be able to take Michelle and my girls, sit in a pew quietly, hopefully get some nice music, some good reflection, praise God, thank Him for all of the blessings He has given our family, put some money in the collection plate, maybe afterwards go out and grab some brunch, have my girls go to Sunday school. That’s what I am looking for.

    Senator Obama is a man of principle.

    He will not flinch to make the tough decisions to further his principle. If that means ditching your spiritual home of 20 years, in order to advance the principle of Obama Uber Alles, then he can, will, and in this case, has done it. (Argumentum ad Nazium)

    My question is... if he can ditch his church, his spiritual home for twenty years, filled with friends and coreligionists with whom he had prayed and worshipped over two decades, and he can do that over poll numbers... what will he NOT ditch for politics? (Question-Begging Analogy)

    What will he not abandon to uphold his principle of self-promotion and self-glorification? (Anecdotal Fallacy)

    Senator Obama is a man of principle.

    -TS

    Friday, May 30, 2008

    First Example (of American Logical Fallacy)

    From: http://redstate.com/blogs/ericka_andersen/2008/may/29/sen_obama_dont_go_if_you_are_not_coming_home_with_the_truth
    (Fallacies in parenthesis)

    I’m not sure why it took this long for someone to make a big deal of the fact that Barack Obama has only visited Iraq one time over two years ago. (straw man argument) It’s no surprise he has chosen not to meet with Gen. Petraeus, visit our troops or get a personal assessment of the situation on the ground overseas. (Style over substance fallacy) He knows, from seeing other anti-war politicians like Dick Durbin and Hillary Clinton – that it is impossible to deny the progress and positive change when you are faced with it head on. Those two, among others, admitted the truth – that we have done well. (Proof by assertion)

    To admit such liberal blasephamy would hamper his purist no-Iraq war image. (Tu quoque ) Perhaps after he’s snagged the nomination for real, it’s a safer bet. But even then, he will look a distant second to John McCain’s seasoned war experience, close relationship with Petraeus and heroic reputation as a war hero. (Appeal to flattery)
    What changed America? 9/11. And who does America want in charge when 9/11 strikes again? There is no greater threat to our society. It’s most important right now to have a commander in chief who understands that. (argumentum in terrorem) Barack Obama does not. He cannot. Literally, he cannot. (ad hominum) And he knows that he can’t have any authority on the situation so he caved to McCain’s request to join him in a trip to Iraq. (Wishful thinking ) Well, half caved. There’s no way he’d hop a plane with the one who could pull the presidency from his grasp in a few short months.

    He’s going alone. For what purpose? (Subject/Motive Shift) He’s going to “talk to the troops and commanders” but what if they tell him what he doesn’t want to hear? What if they tell him the opposite of his message? A man whose never served in the military and wants to COMMAND our troops in battle having only once stepped foot on their fields? It’s shocking that this could be our reality. (Ipsedixitism)

    Do you think he plans on reporting the good news he hears? (Special pleading) Hell no. But I guarantee you now, he WILL hear good news. He will hear that violence is down, that deaths are down, that the democratically elected Iraqi government is finally taking control of themselves, that al-Qaeda exists now in record lows. Do you know why? Because we were there. (No true Scotsman) But Obama’s gone too far to come back now. He can’t backtrack when half of the country is getting off on the delusion he’s created by way of heartsoaring speeches and words of bipartisan rhetoric. He can’t take the dream away now, can he? (petitio principii) Well, he could. But he won’t.

    Sen. Obama, don’t go to Iraq if you are not coming back with the truth. Don’t do that to our troops. Don’t do that to the Iraqis. Don’t do that to us. It’s never too late to start doing the right thing. (Hasty generalization) And usually that begins with the truth.